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RBA Minutes: Unable to Accurately Predict Rate Path
The minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) March meeting indicate that after the second rate hike this year, prompted by the surge in oil prices due to the Middle East ...
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RBA Minutes: Unable to Accurately Predict Rate Path
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The minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) March meeting indicate that after the second rate hike this year, prompted by the surge in oil prices due to the Middle East conflict and the heightened inflation risk, the central bank is currently unable to make confident predictions about the interest rate trajectory. This is due to the high uncertainty surrounding the scope and duration of the Middle East conflict.

During the March meeting, members acknowledged the risk of inflation remaining above the target range for an extended period. After discussion, all members unanimously agreed on the need for further monetary policy tightening, although four minority members believed that action could wait until more evidence showed demand consistently exceeding supply.

The minutes noted that if the conflict involving Iran is prolonged, it will have a significant impact on inflation and economic activity. If medium to long-term inflation expectations rise, more restrictive monetary policy will eventually be needed to achieve the inflation target. (mn/a)
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